TRACK RECORD

Cross-asset validation: Separate audit across crypto, ETFs, commodities, currencies, futures, and fixed income. Direction confirmed-or-partial rates: crypto 67%, ETFs 80%, commodities 77%, currencies 87%, futures 82%. These are shown alongside the equity corpus, not blended into it.

Grading methodology (v3, May 2026): Each equity call is graded at its signal-specific window against actual benchmark-relative returns. Confirmed means the path matched the expected relationship. Partial means the direction or relationship was useful, but timing or magnitude was imperfect. Failed means the relationship moved outside the bounded outcome range. Recovering calls are graded at the 12-month signal window or the model-implied recovery window. Trending calls are graded as support-hold near the floor or mean reversion when extended. Inflection calls are not graded — the system makes no directional claim near the neutral zone. The old simple up/down score on this same call set is 53%; it is shown here only as a diagnostic because it discards partial confirmations. Equity calls are relative performance vs benchmark, not standalone absolute price predictions. Period: 2018-06 – 2025-11 · 3132 graded calls across 305 tickers. Methodology →

How to audit a row: The signal columns show what the engine said at the signal date. The proof column shows the later benchmark-relative check: expected relationship level, realized relationship level, grading window, and whether the relationship direction held. Confirmed means a tight match. Partial means useful but imprecise. Failed means direction broke or moved outside the bounded range. Market backdrop says Not recorded when the older replay row did not store a point-in-time macro snapshot.